Brennan, Michael vs McGreevy, Max prediction for May 28, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects McGreevy, Max 0 - Brennan, Michael 82. Brennan, Michael is favored with a 56.9% win probability. The spread is -0.07.
McGreevy, Max
+0.00
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • Charles Schwab Challenge
Brennan, Michael
+0.20
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
McGreevy, MaxBrennan, Michael
+105
Best Odds
+16.7%
Edge
1.5u HIGH
Sizing
Tournament Context
Event
Charles Schwab Challenge
Course
Colonial CC
Field
132 players
Wind
10 mph
Temp
91°F
Conditions
harder (+0.4)
Player Profile — Brennan, Michael
Strokes Gained
+0.20/round
Tour Avg
Course Fit
poor
-0.038 SG adj
Expected Finish
82th / 132
Matchup Analysis
Brennan, Michael
+0.20 SG
EF 82th
Skill Gap
-0.07 SG/round
essentially a coin flip
McGreevy, Max
+0.00 SG
EF 0th · Tour Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
56.9%
Books Say
48.8%
Edge
+16.7%
Brennan, Michael vs McGreevy, Max: Model gives Brennan, Michael 56.9% win probability vs 48.8% implied (+16.7% edge). Expected finish: 82.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Brennan, Michael 56.9%
+16.7 pts
Spread
-0.1
+16.7 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →