Bridgeman, Jacob vs Bradley, Keegan prediction for June 4, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Bradley, Keegan 0 - Bridgeman, Jacob 42. Bradley, Keegan is favored with a 51.0% win probability. The spread is -0.05.
Bradley, Keegan
+0.00
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday
Bridgeman, Jacob
+0.84
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Bradley, KeeganBridgeman, Jacob
+118
Best Odds
+6.8%
Edge
1.0u MEDIUM
Sizing
Tournament Context
Event
the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday
Course
Muirfield Village GC
Field
72 players
Wind
13 mph
Temp
82°F
Conditions
harder (+0.6)
Player Profile — Bridgeman, Jacob
Strokes Gained
+0.84/round
Above Avg
Course Fit
neutral
+0.009 SG adj
Expected Finish
42th / 72
Matchup Analysis
Bridgeman, Jacob
+0.84 SG
EF 42th
Skill Gap
-0.05 SG/round
essentially a coin flip
Bradley, Keegan
+0.00 SG
EF 0th · Tour Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
49.0%
Books Say
45.9%
Edge
+6.8%
Bridgeman, Jacob vs Bradley, Keegan: Model gives Bridgeman, Jacob 49.0% win probability vs 45.9% implied (+6.8% edge). Expected finish: 42.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Bradley, Keegan 51.0%
+6.8 pts
Spread
-0.1
+6.8 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →