PGA Tour Golf

Bridgeman, Jacob vs Woodland, Gary Prediction

June 17, 2026

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Bridgeman, Jacob vs Woodland, Gary prediction for June 17, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Woodland, Gary 38 - Bridgeman, Jacob 90. Bridgeman, Jacob is favored with a 60.8% win probability. The spread is 0.08.

Woodland, Gary
+1.00
Strokes Gained / Round
VS H2H • U.S. Open
Bridgeman, Jacob
+0.94
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
39.2%
60.8%
Woodland, GaryBridgeman, Jacob
-125
Best Odds
+9.4%
Edge
1.0u MEDIUM
Sizing
FINALWoodland, Gary (T20) def Bridgeman, Jacob (T85)

Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile

Bridgeman, Jacob
839097
Woodland, Gary
313845

Tournament Context

Event
U.S. Open
Course
Shinnecock Hills Golf Club
Field
156 players

Player Profile — Bridgeman, Jacob

Strokes Gained
+0.94/round
Above Avg
Course Fit
neutral
+0.085 SG adj
Expected Finish
90th / 156

Matchup Analysis

Bridgeman, Jacob
+0.94 SG
EF 90th
Skill Gap
+0.08 SG/round
essentially a coin flip
Woodland, Gary
+1.00 SG
EF 38th · Tour Elite

Edge Breakdown

Our Model
60.8%
Books Say
55.6%
Edge
+9.4%

Bridgeman, Jacob vs Woodland, Gary: Model gives Bridgeman, Jacob 60.8% win probability vs 55.6% implied (+9.4% edge). Expected finish: 90.

Edge Analysis

Moneyline
Bridgeman, Jacob 60.8%
+9.4 pts
Spread
+0.1
+9.4 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

Want Premium Predictions?

Get full access to all picks, detailed game-by-game analysis, and Kelly-optimized unit sizing across 9 leagues.

Go Premium Free Picks