PGA Tour Golf

Bridgeman, Jacob vs Woodland, Gary Prediction

June 18, 2026

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Bridgeman, Jacob vs Woodland, Gary prediction for June 18, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Woodland, Gary 39 - Bridgeman, Jacob 89. Bridgeman, Jacob is favored with a 61.3% win probability. The spread is 0.08.

Woodland, Gary
+1.00
Strokes Gained / Round
VS H2H • U.S. Open
Bridgeman, Jacob
+0.94
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
38.7%
61.3%
Woodland, GaryBridgeman, Jacob
-125
Best Odds
+10.3%
Edge
1.5u HIGH
Sizing
FINALWoodland, Gary (T20) def Bridgeman, Jacob (T85)

Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile

Bridgeman, Jacob
828996
Woodland, Gary
323946

Tournament Context

Event
U.S. Open
Course
Shinnecock Hills Golf Club
Field
156 players

Player Profile — Bridgeman, Jacob

Strokes Gained
+0.94/round
Above Avg
Course Fit
neutral
+0.085 SG adj
Expected Finish
89th / 156

Matchup Analysis

Bridgeman, Jacob
+0.94 SG
EF 89th
Skill Gap
+0.08 SG/round
essentially a coin flip
Woodland, Gary
+1.00 SG
EF 39th · Tour Elite

Edge Breakdown

Our Model
61.3%
Books Say
55.6%
Edge
+10.3%

Bridgeman, Jacob vs Woodland, Gary: Model gives Bridgeman, Jacob 61.3% win probability vs 55.6% implied (+10.3% edge). Expected finish: 89.

Edge Analysis

Moneyline
Bridgeman, Jacob 61.3%
+10.3 pts
Spread
+0.1
+10.3 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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