Brown, Blades vs Ghim, Doug prediction for May 7, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Ghim, Doug 84 - Brown, Blades 84. Brown, Blades is favored with a 55.9% win probability. The spread is -0.02.
Ghim, Doug
+0.19
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson
Brown, Blades
+0.17
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Ghim, DougBrown, Blades
-104
Best Odds
+9.6%
Edge
1.0u MEDIUM
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Brown, Blades
778491
Ghim, Doug
778491
Tournament Context
Event
THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson
Course
TPC Craig Ranch
Field
147 players
Wind
14 mph
Temp
82°F
Conditions
harder (+0.7)
Player Profile — Brown, Blades
Strokes Gained
+0.17/round
Tour Avg
Course Fit
good
+0.195 SG adj
Expected Finish
84th / 147
Matchup Analysis
Brown, Blades
+0.17 SG
EF 84th
Skill Gap
-0.02 SG/round
essentially a coin flip
Ghim, Doug
+0.19 SG
EF 84th · Tour Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
55.9%
Books Say
51.0%
Edge
+9.6%
Brown, Blades vs Ghim, Doug: Model gives Brown, Blades 55.9% win probability vs 51.0% implied (+9.6% edge). Expected finish: 84.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Brown, Blades 55.9%
+9.6 pts
Spread
-0.0
+9.6 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →