Cauley, Bud vs Taylor, Nick prediction for June 10, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Taylor, Nick 99 - Cauley, Bud 71. Cauley, Bud is favored with a 58.0% win probability. The spread is -0.16.
Taylor, Nick
+0.77
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • RBC Canadian Open
Cauley, Bud
+0.77
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Taylor, NickCauley, Bud
-105
Best Odds
+14.6%
Edge
1.5u HIGH
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Cauley, Bud
647178
Taylor, Nick
9299106
Tournament Context
Event
RBC Canadian Open
Course
TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley (North Course)
Field
147 players
Player Profile — Cauley, Bud
Strokes Gained
+0.77/round
Above Avg
Course Fit
good
+0.250 SG adj
Expected Finish
71th / 147
Matchup Analysis
Cauley, Bud
+0.77 SG
EF 71th
Skill Gap
-0.16 SG/round
tight edge for Taylor, Nick
Taylor, Nick
+0.77 SG
EF 99th · Above Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
58.0%
Books Say
51.2%
Edge
+14.6%
Cauley, Bud vs Taylor, Nick: Model gives Cauley, Bud 58.0% win probability vs 51.2% implied (+13.1% edge). Skill advantage: -0.16 SG/round. Expected finish: 71. AI: strong recent form.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Cauley, Bud 58.0%
+14.6 pts
Spread
-0.2
+14.6 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →