Clanton, Luke vs Horschel, Billy prediction for June 9, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Horschel, Billy 119 - Clanton, Luke 110. Clanton, Luke is favored with a 58.5% win probability. The spread is -0.46.
Horschel, Billy
+0.11
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • RBC Canadian Open
Clanton, Luke
-0.51
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Horschel, BillyClanton, Luke
-102
Best Odds
+15.8%
Edge
1.5u HIGH
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Clanton, Luke
103110117
Horschel, Billy
112119126
Tournament Context
Event
RBC Canadian Open
Course
TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley (North Course)
Field
147 players
Player Profile — Clanton, Luke
Strokes Gained
-0.51/round
Below Avg
Course Fit
neutral
+0.000 SG adj
Expected Finish
110th / 147
Matchup Analysis
Clanton, Luke
-0.51 SG
EF 110th
Skill Gap
-0.46 SG/round
meaningful edge for Horschel, Billy
Horschel, Billy
+0.11 SG
EF 119th · Tour Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
58.5%
Books Say
50.5%
Edge
+15.8%
Clanton, Luke vs Horschel, Billy: Model gives Clanton, Luke 58.5% win probability vs 50.5% implied (+15.8% edge). Skill advantage: -0.46 SG/round. Expected finish: 110.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Clanton, Luke 58.5%
+15.8 pts
Spread
-0.5
+15.8 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →