Clark, Wyndham vs Burns, Sam prediction for June 10, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Burns, Sam 70 - Clark, Wyndham 63. Burns, Sam is favored with a 51.4% win probability. The spread is -0.34.
Burns, Sam
+1.57
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • RBC Canadian Open
Clark, Wyndham
+1.25
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Burns, SamClark, Wyndham
+122
Best Odds
+9.3%
Edge
1.0u MEDIUM
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Clark, Wyndham
566370
Burns, Sam
637077
Tournament Context
Event
RBC Canadian Open
Course
TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley (North Course)
Field
147 players
Player Profile — Clark, Wyndham
Strokes Gained
+1.25/round
Tour Elite
Course Fit
neutral
+0.014 SG adj
Expected Finish
63th / 147
Matchup Analysis
Clark, Wyndham
+1.25 SG
EF 63th
Skill Gap
-0.34 SG/round
tight edge for Burns, Sam
Burns, Sam
+1.57 SG
EF 70th · World Class
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
48.6%
Books Say
45.1%
Edge
+9.3%
Clark, Wyndham vs Burns, Sam: Model gives Clark, Wyndham 48.6% win probability vs 45.0% implied (+7.8% edge). Skill advantage: -0.34 SG/round. Expected finish: 63. AI: strong recent form.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Burns, Sam 51.4%
+9.3 pts
Spread
-0.3
+9.3 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →