PGA Tour Golf

Clark, Wyndham vs Day, Jason Prediction

June 4, 2026

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Clark, Wyndham vs Day, Jason prediction for June 4, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Day, Jason 0 - Clark, Wyndham 40. Clark, Wyndham is favored with a 58.2% win probability. The spread is 0.22.

Day, Jason
+0.00
Strokes Gained / Round
VS H2H • the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday
Clark, Wyndham
+0.94
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
41.8%
58.2%
Day, JasonClark, Wyndham
-115
Best Odds
+8.9%
Edge
1.0u MEDIUM
Sizing
FINALClark, Wyndham (T1) def Day, Jason (T44)

Tournament Context

Event
the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday
Course
Muirfield Village GC
Field
72 players
Wind
13 mph
Temp
82°F
Conditions
harder (+0.6)

Player Profile — Clark, Wyndham

Strokes Gained
+0.94/round
Above Avg
Course Fit
neutral
+0.066 SG adj
Expected Finish
40th / 72

Matchup Analysis

Clark, Wyndham
+0.94 SG
EF 40th
Skill Gap
+0.22 SG/round
tight edge for Clark, Wyndham
Day, Jason
+0.00 SG
EF 0th · Tour Avg

Edge Breakdown

Our Model
58.2%
Books Say
53.5%
Edge
+8.9%

Clark, Wyndham vs Day, Jason: Model gives Clark, Wyndham 58.2% win probability vs 53.5% implied (+8.9% edge). Skill advantage: +0.22 SG/round. Expected finish: 40.

Edge Analysis

Moneyline
Clark, Wyndham 58.2%
+8.9 pts
Spread
+0.2
+8.9 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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