Clark, Wyndham vs Greyserman, Max prediction for May 17, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Greyserman, Max 82 - Clark, Wyndham 76. Clark, Wyndham is favored with a 60.0% win probability. The spread is 0.13.
Greyserman, Max
+0.40
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson
Clark, Wyndham
+0.52
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Greyserman, MaxClark, Wyndham
-129
Best Odds
+6.5%
Edge
1.0u MEDIUM
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Clark, Wyndham
697683
Greyserman, Max
758289
Tournament Context
Event
THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson
Course
TPC Craig Ranch
Field
147 players
Wind
15 mph
Temp
81°F
Conditions
harder (+0.8)
Player Profile — Clark, Wyndham
Strokes Gained
+0.52/round
Above Avg
Course Fit
neutral
+0.146 SG adj
Expected Finish
76th / 147
Matchup Analysis
Clark, Wyndham
+0.52 SG
EF 76th
Skill Gap
+0.13 SG/round
tight edge for Clark, Wyndham
Greyserman, Max
+0.40 SG
EF 82th · Tour Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
60.0%
Books Say
56.3%
Edge
+6.5%
Clark, Wyndham vs Greyserman, Max: Model gives Clark, Wyndham 60.0% win probability vs 56.3% implied (+6.5% edge). Skill advantage: +0.13 SG/round. Expected finish: 76.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Clark, Wyndham 60.0%
+6.5 pts
Spread
+0.1
+6.5 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →