Clark, Wyndham vs Mitchell, Keith prediction for May 12, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Mitchell, Keith 103 - Clark, Wyndham 104. Clark, Wyndham is favored with a 58.7% win probability. The spread is -0.11.
Mitchell, Keith
+0.66
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • PGA Championship
Clark, Wyndham
+0.55
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Mitchell, KeithClark, Wyndham
-115
Best Odds
+9.7%
Edge
1.0u MEDIUM
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Clark, Wyndham
97104111
Mitchell, Keith
96103110
Tournament Context
Event
PGA Championship
Course
Aronimink Golf Club
Field
156 players
Player Profile — Clark, Wyndham
Strokes Gained
+0.55/round
Above Avg
Course Fit
neutral
+0.103 SG adj
Expected Finish
104th / 156
Matchup Analysis
Clark, Wyndham
+0.55 SG
EF 104th
Skill Gap
-0.11 SG/round
tight edge for Mitchell, Keith
Mitchell, Keith
+0.66 SG
EF 103th · Above Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
58.7%
Books Say
53.5%
Edge
+9.7%
Clark, Wyndham vs Mitchell, Keith: Model gives Clark, Wyndham 58.7% win probability vs 53.5% implied (+9.7% edge). Skill advantage: -0.11 SG/round. Expected finish: 104.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Clark, Wyndham 58.7%
+9.7 pts
Spread
-0.1
+9.7 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →