Clark, Wyndham vs Rose, Justin prediction for June 18, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Rose, Justin 34 - Clark, Wyndham 80. Clark, Wyndham is favored with a 58.4% win probability. The spread is 0.2.
Rose, Justin
+1.20
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • U.S. Open
Clark, Wyndham
+1.31
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Rose, JustinClark, Wyndham
-113
Best Odds
+8.5%
Edge
1.0u MEDIUM
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Clark, Wyndham
738087
Rose, Justin
273441
Tournament Context
Event
U.S. Open
Course
Shinnecock Hills Golf Club
Field
156 players
Player Profile — Clark, Wyndham
Strokes Gained
+1.31/round
Tour Elite
Course Fit
poor
-0.003 SG adj
Expected Finish
80th / 156
Matchup Analysis
Clark, Wyndham
+1.31 SG
EF 80th
Skill Gap
+0.20 SG/round
tight edge for Clark, Wyndham
Rose, Justin
+1.20 SG
EF 34th · Tour Elite
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
58.4%
Books Say
53.0%
Edge
+8.5%
Clark, Wyndham vs Rose, Justin: Model gives Clark, Wyndham 58.4% win probability vs 53.1% implied (+10.0% edge). Skill advantage: +0.20 SG/round. Expected finish: 80. AI: poor course history.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Clark, Wyndham 58.4%
+8.5 pts
Spread
+0.2
+8.5 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →