PGA Tour Golf

Coody, Pierceson vs Bradley, Keegan Prediction

May 28, 2026

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Coody, Pierceson vs Bradley, Keegan prediction for May 28, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Bradley, Keegan 45 - Coody, Pierceson 48. Coody, Pierceson is favored with a 50.1% win probability. The spread is -0.28.

Bradley, Keegan
+0.90
Strokes Gained / Round
VS H2H • Charles Schwab Challenge
Coody, Pierceson
+0.61
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
49.9%
50.1%
Bradley, KeeganCoody, Pierceson
+110
Best Odds
+5.2%
Edge
1.0u MEDIUM
Sizing
FINALBradley, Keegan (T5) def Coody, Pierceson (T100)

Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile

Coody, Pierceson
414855
Bradley, Keegan
384552

Tournament Context

Event
Charles Schwab Challenge
Course
Colonial CC
Field
132 players
Wind
10 mph
Temp
91°F
Conditions
harder (+0.4)

Player Profile — Coody, Pierceson

Strokes Gained
+0.61/round
Above Avg
Course Fit
excellent
+0.901 SG adj
Expected Finish
48th / 132

Matchup Analysis

Coody, Pierceson
+0.61 SG
EF 48th
Skill Gap
-0.28 SG/round
tight edge for Bradley, Keegan
Bradley, Keegan
+0.90 SG
EF 45th · Above Avg

Edge Breakdown

Our Model
50.1%
Books Say
47.6%
Edge
+5.2%

Coody, Pierceson vs Bradley, Keegan: Model gives Coody, Pierceson 50.1% win probability vs 47.6% implied (+5.2% edge). Skill advantage: -0.29 SG/round. Expected finish: 48.

Edge Analysis

Moneyline
Coody, Pierceson 50.1%
+5.2 pts
Spread
-0.3
+5.2 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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