Coody, Pierceson vs Stevens, Sam prediction for May 2, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Stevens, Sam 35 - Coody, Pierceson 30. Coody, Pierceson is favored with a 57.9% win probability. The spread is -0.23.
Stevens, Sam
+0.81
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • Truist Championship
Coody, Pierceson
+0.58
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Stevens, SamCoody, Pierceson
+107
Best Odds
+19.9%
Edge
1.5u HIGH
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Coody, Pierceson
233037
Stevens, Sam
283542
Tournament Context
Event
Truist Championship
Course
Quail Hollow Club
Field
72 players
Wind
9 mph
Temp
72°F
Conditions
harder (+0.4)
Player Profile — Coody, Pierceson
Strokes Gained
+0.58/round
Above Avg
Course Fit
good
+0.279 SG adj
Expected Finish
30th / 72
Matchup Analysis
Coody, Pierceson
+0.58 SG
EF 30th
Skill Gap
-0.23 SG/round
tight edge for Stevens, Sam
Stevens, Sam
+0.81 SG
EF 35th · Above Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
57.9%
Books Say
48.3%
Edge
+19.9%
Coody, Pierceson vs Stevens, Sam: Model gives Coody, Pierceson 57.9% win probability vs 48.3% implied (+19.9% edge). Skill advantage: -0.23 SG/round. Expected finish: 30.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Coody, Pierceson 57.9%
+19.9 pts
Spread
-0.2
+19.9 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →