Day, Jason vs English, Harris prediction for May 9, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects English, Harris 37 - Day, Jason 20. Day, Jason is favored with a 63.9% win probability. The spread is -0.18.
English, Harris
+1.17
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • Truist Championship
Day, Jason
+1.00
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
English, HarrisDay, Jason
-112
Best Odds
+21.0%
Edge
1.5u HIGH
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Day, Jason
132027
English, Harris
303744
Tournament Context
Event
Truist Championship
Course
Quail Hollow Club
Field
72 players
Wind
11 mph
Temp
76°F
Conditions
harder (+0.5)
Player Profile — Day, Jason
Strokes Gained
+1.00/round
Tour Elite
Course Fit
excellent
+1.211 SG adj
Expected Finish
20th / 72
Matchup Analysis
Day, Jason
+1.00 SG
EF 20th
Skill Gap
-0.18 SG/round
tight edge for English, Harris
English, Harris
+1.17 SG
EF 37th · Tour Elite
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
63.9%
Books Say
52.8%
Edge
+21.0%
Day, Jason vs English, Harris: Model gives Day, Jason 63.9% win probability vs 52.8% implied (+21.0% edge). Skill advantage: -0.18 SG/round. Expected finish: 20.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Day, Jason 63.9%
+21.0 pts
Spread
-0.2
+21.0 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →