DeChambeau, Bryson vs Kim, Si Woo prediction for June 17, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Kim, Si Woo 26 - DeChambeau, Bryson 75. Kim, Si Woo is favored with a 52.0% win probability. The spread is -0.44.
Kim, Si Woo
+1.58
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • U.S. Open
DeChambeau, Bryson
+1.27
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Kim, Si WooDeChambeau, Bryson
+134
Best Odds
+12.4%
Edge
1.0u HIGH
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
DeChambeau, Bryson
687582
Kim, Si Woo
192633
Tournament Context
Event
U.S. Open
Course
Shinnecock Hills Golf Club
Field
156 players
Player Profile — DeChambeau, Bryson
Strokes Gained
+1.27/round
Tour Elite
Course Fit
good
+0.223 SG adj
Expected Finish
75th / 156
Matchup Analysis
DeChambeau, Bryson
+1.27 SG
EF 75th
Skill Gap
-0.44 SG/round
meaningful edge for Kim, Si Woo
Kim, Si Woo
+1.58 SG
EF 26th · World Class
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
48.0%
Books Say
42.7%
Edge
+12.4%
DeChambeau, Bryson vs Kim, Si Woo: Model gives DeChambeau, Bryson 48.0% win probability vs 42.7% implied (+12.4% edge). Skill advantage: -0.44 SG/round. Expected finish: 75.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Kim, Si Woo 52.0%
+12.4 pts
Spread
-0.4
+12.4 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →