Detry, Thomas vs Puig, David prediction for May 7, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Puig, David 96 - Detry, Thomas 42. Detry, Thomas is favored with a 64.9% win probability. The spread is 0.1.
Puig, David
+0.81
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • PGA Championship
Detry, Thomas
+0.90
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Puig, DavidDetry, Thomas
-125
Best Odds
+16.9%
Edge
1.5u ELITE
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Detry, Thomas
354249
Puig, David
8996103
Tournament Context
Event
PGA Championship
Course
Aronimink Golf Club
Field
156 players
Player Profile — Detry, Thomas
Strokes Gained
+0.90/round
Above Avg
Course Fit
excellent
+1.906 SG adj
Expected Finish
42th / 156
Matchup Analysis
Detry, Thomas
+0.90 SG
EF 42th
Skill Gap
+0.10 SG/round
essentially a coin flip
Puig, David
+0.81 SG
EF 96th · Above Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
64.9%
Books Say
55.6%
Edge
+16.9%
Detry, Thomas vs Puig, David: Model gives Detry, Thomas 64.9% win probability vs 55.6% implied (+16.9% edge). Expected finish: 42.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Detry, Thomas 64.9%
+16.9 pts
Spread
+0.1
+16.9 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →