Dumont De Chassart, Adrien vs Kirk, Chris prediction for June 9, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Kirk, Chris 113 - Dumont De Chassart, Adrien 95. Dumont De Chassart, Adrien is favored with a 58.5% win probability. The spread is -0.09.
Kirk, Chris
+0.23
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • RBC Canadian Open
Dumont De Chassart, Adrien
+0.19
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Kirk, ChrisDumont De Chassart, Adrien
-111
Best Odds
+11.1%
Edge
1.5u HIGH
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Dumont De Chassart, Adrien
8895102
Kirk, Chris
106113120
Tournament Context
Event
RBC Canadian Open
Course
TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley (North Course)
Field
147 players
Player Profile — Dumont De Chassart, Adrien
Strokes Gained
+0.19/round
Tour Avg
Course Fit
neutral
+0.000 SG adj
Expected Finish
95th / 147
Matchup Analysis
Dumont De Chassart, Adrien
+0.19 SG
EF 95th
Skill Gap
-0.09 SG/round
essentially a coin flip
Kirk, Chris
+0.23 SG
EF 113th · Tour Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
58.5%
Books Say
52.6%
Edge
+11.1%
Dumont De Chassart, Adrien vs Kirk, Chris: Model gives Dumont De Chassart, Adrien 58.5% win probability vs 52.6% implied (+11.1% edge). Expected finish: 95.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Dumont De Chassart, Adrien 58.5%
+11.1 pts
Spread
-0.1
+11.1 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →