Dumont De Chassart, Adrien vs Kirk, Chris prediction for June 11, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Kirk, Chris 112 - Dumont De Chassart, Adrien 96. Dumont De Chassart, Adrien is favored with a 60.6% win probability. The spread is -0.09.
Kirk, Chris
+0.23
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • RBC Canadian Open
Dumont De Chassart, Adrien
+0.19
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Kirk, ChrisDumont De Chassart, Adrien
+114
Best Odds
+29.7%
Edge
2.0u HIGH
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Dumont De Chassart, Adrien
8996103
Kirk, Chris
105112119
Tournament Context
Event
RBC Canadian Open
Course
TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley (North Course)
Field
147 players
Player Profile — Dumont De Chassart, Adrien
Strokes Gained
+0.19/round
Tour Avg
Course Fit
poor
-0.093 SG adj
Expected Finish
96th / 147
Matchup Analysis
Dumont De Chassart, Adrien
+0.19 SG
EF 96th
Skill Gap
-0.09 SG/round
essentially a coin flip
Kirk, Chris
+0.23 SG
EF 112th · Tour Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
60.6%
Books Say
46.7%
Edge
+29.7%
Dumont De Chassart, Adrien vs Kirk, Chris: Model gives Dumont De Chassart, Adrien 60.6% win probability vs 46.7% implied (+29.7% edge). Expected finish: 96.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Dumont De Chassart, Adrien 60.6%
+29.7 pts
Spread
-0.1
+29.7 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →