Dumont De Chassart, Adrien vs Parry, John prediction for May 8, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Parry, John 86 - Dumont De Chassart, Adrien 74. Dumont De Chassart, Adrien is favored with a 59.6% win probability. The spread is -0.06.
Parry, John
+0.35
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson
Dumont De Chassart, Adrien
+0.29
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Parry, JohnDumont De Chassart, Adrien
+106
Best Odds
+22.9%
Edge
1.5u HIGH
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Dumont De Chassart, Adrien
677481
Parry, John
798693
Tournament Context
Event
THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson
Course
TPC Craig Ranch
Field
147 players
Wind
14 mph
Temp
82°F
Conditions
harder (+0.7)
Player Profile — Dumont De Chassart, Adrien
Strokes Gained
+0.29/round
Tour Avg
Course Fit
excellent
+0.454 SG adj
Expected Finish
74th / 147
Matchup Analysis
Dumont De Chassart, Adrien
+0.29 SG
EF 74th
Skill Gap
-0.06 SG/round
essentially a coin flip
Parry, John
+0.35 SG
EF 86th · Tour Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
59.6%
Books Say
48.5%
Edge
+22.9%
Dumont De Chassart, Adrien vs Parry, John: Model gives Dumont De Chassart, Adrien 59.6% win probability vs 48.5% implied (+22.9% edge). Expected finish: 74.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Dumont De Chassart, Adrien 59.6%
+22.9 pts
Spread
-0.1
+22.9 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →