PGA Tour Golf

Eckroat, Austin vs Hodges, Lee Prediction

June 11, 2026

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Eckroat, Austin vs Hodges, Lee prediction for June 11, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Hodges, Lee 0 - Eckroat, Austin 98. Eckroat, Austin is favored with a 58.6% win probability. The spread is 0.17.

Hodges, Lee
+0.00
Strokes Gained / Round
VS H2H • RBC Canadian Open
Eckroat, Austin
+0.21
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
41.4%
58.6%
Hodges, LeeEckroat, Austin
-106
Best Odds
+13.9%
Edge
1.5u HIGH
Sizing
FINALEckroat, Austin (T30) def Hodges, Lee (T131)

Tournament Context

Event
RBC Canadian Open
Course
TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley (North Course)
Field
147 players

Player Profile — Eckroat, Austin

Strokes Gained
+0.21/round
Tour Avg
Course Fit
poor
-0.196 SG adj
Expected Finish
98th / 147

Matchup Analysis

Eckroat, Austin
+0.21 SG
EF 98th
Skill Gap
+0.17 SG/round
tight edge for Eckroat, Austin
Hodges, Lee
+0.00 SG
EF 0th · Tour Avg

Edge Breakdown

Our Model
58.6%
Books Say
51.5%
Edge
+13.9%

Eckroat, Austin vs Hodges, Lee: Model gives Eckroat, Austin 58.6% win probability vs 51.5% implied (+13.9% edge). Skill advantage: +0.17 SG/round. Expected finish: 98.

Edge Analysis

Moneyline
Eckroat, Austin 58.6%
+13.9 pts
Spread
+0.2
+13.9 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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