Eckroat, Austin vs Hossler, Beau prediction for May 22, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Hossler, Beau 104 - Eckroat, Austin 84. Eckroat, Austin is favored with a 65.6% win probability. The spread is 0.1.
Hossler, Beau
+0.16
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson
Eckroat, Austin
+0.26
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Hossler, BeauEckroat, Austin
-106
Best Odds
+27.5%
Edge
2.0u HIGH
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Eckroat, Austin
778491
Hossler, Beau
97104111
Tournament Context
Event
THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson
Course
TPC Craig Ranch
Field
147 players
Wind
15 mph
Temp
81°F
Conditions
harder (+0.8)
Player Profile — Eckroat, Austin
Strokes Gained
+0.26/round
Tour Avg
Course Fit
neutral
+0.081 SG adj
Expected Finish
84th / 147
Matchup Analysis
Eckroat, Austin
+0.26 SG
EF 84th
Skill Gap
+0.10 SG/round
tight edge for Eckroat, Austin
Hossler, Beau
+0.16 SG
EF 104th · Tour Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
65.6%
Books Say
51.5%
Edge
+27.5%
Eckroat, Austin vs Hossler, Beau: Model gives Eckroat, Austin 65.6% win probability vs 51.5% implied (+27.5% edge). Skill advantage: +0.11 SG/round. Expected finish: 84.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Eckroat, Austin 65.6%
+27.5 pts
Spread
+0.1
+27.5 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →