English, Harris vs Day, Jason prediction for May 10, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Day, Jason 98 - English, Harris 76. English, Harris is favored with a 63.9% win probability. The spread is 0.39.
Day, Jason
+0.75
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • PGA Championship
English, Harris
+1.14
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Day, JasonEnglish, Harris
-135
Best Odds
+11.2%
Edge
1.5u HIGH
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
English, Harris
697683
Day, Jason
9198105
Tournament Context
Event
PGA Championship
Course
Aronimink Golf Club
Field
156 players
Player Profile — English, Harris
Strokes Gained
+1.14/round
Tour Elite
Course Fit
excellent
+0.503 SG adj
Expected Finish
76th / 156
Matchup Analysis
English, Harris
+1.14 SG
EF 76th
Skill Gap
+0.39 SG/round
tight edge for English, Harris
Day, Jason
+0.75 SG
EF 98th · Above Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
63.9%
Books Say
57.5%
Edge
+11.2%
English, Harris vs Day, Jason: Model gives English, Harris 63.9% win probability vs 57.4% implied (+11.2% edge). Skill advantage: +0.39 SG/round. Expected finish: 76.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
English, Harris 63.9%
+11.2 pts
Spread
+0.4
+11.2 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →