English, Harris vs Rose, Justin prediction for May 1, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Rose, Justin 72 - English, Harris 12. English, Harris is favored with a 53.0% win probability. The spread is 0.04.
Rose, Justin
+1.22
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • Cadillac Championship
English, Harris
+1.29
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Rose, JustinEnglish, Harris
+105
Best Odds
+8.8%
Edge
1.0u MEDIUM
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
English, Harris
51219
Rose, Justin
657279
Tournament Context
Event
Cadillac Championship
Course
Trump National Doral (Blue Monster)
Field
72 players
Player Profile — English, Harris
Strokes Gained
+1.29/round
Tour Elite
Course Fit
poor
-0.098 SG adj
Expected Finish
12th / 72
Matchup Analysis
English, Harris
+1.29 SG
EF 12th
Skill Gap
+0.04 SG/round
essentially a coin flip
Rose, Justin
+1.22 SG
EF 72th · Tour Elite
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
53.0%
Books Say
48.8%
Edge
+8.8%
English, Harris vs Rose, Justin: Model gives English, Harris 53.1% win probability vs 48.8% implied (+8.8% edge). Expected finish: 12.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
English, Harris 53.0%
+8.8 pts
Spread
+0.0
+8.8 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →