English, Harris vs Woodland, Gary prediction for May 7, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Woodland, Gary 95 - English, Harris 76. English, Harris is favored with a 63.0% win probability. The spread is 0.38.
Woodland, Gary
+0.75
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • PGA Championship
English, Harris
+1.14
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Woodland, GaryEnglish, Harris
-126
Best Odds
+13.0%
Edge
1.5u HIGH
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
English, Harris
697683
Woodland, Gary
8895102
Tournament Context
Event
PGA Championship
Course
Aronimink Golf Club
Field
156 players
Player Profile — English, Harris
Strokes Gained
+1.14/round
Tour Elite
Course Fit
excellent
+0.503 SG adj
Expected Finish
76th / 156
Matchup Analysis
English, Harris
+1.14 SG
EF 76th
Skill Gap
+0.38 SG/round
tight edge for English, Harris
Woodland, Gary
+0.75 SG
EF 95th · Above Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
63.0%
Books Say
55.8%
Edge
+13.0%
English, Harris vs Woodland, Gary: Model gives English, Harris 63.0% win probability vs 55.8% implied (+13.0% edge). Skill advantage: +0.38 SG/round. Expected finish: 76.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
English, Harris 63.0%
+13.0 pts
Spread
+0.4
+13.0 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →