Fisk, Steven vs Dumont De Chassart, Adrien prediction for May 26, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Dumont De Chassart, Adrien 0 - Fisk, Steven 87. Fisk, Steven is favored with a 58.2% win probability. The spread is -0.09.
Dumont De Chassart, Adrien
+0.00
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • Charles Schwab Challenge
Fisk, Steven
+0.14
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Dumont De Chassart, AdrienFisk, Steven
-116
Best Odds
+8.4%
Edge
1.0u MEDIUM
Sizing
Tournament Context
Event
Charles Schwab Challenge
Course
Colonial CC
Field
132 players
Wind
8 mph
Temp
85°F
Conditions
harder (+0.3)
Player Profile — Fisk, Steven
Strokes Gained
+0.14/round
Tour Avg
Course Fit
poor
-0.206 SG adj
Expected Finish
87th / 132
Matchup Analysis
Fisk, Steven
+0.14 SG
EF 87th
Skill Gap
-0.09 SG/round
essentially a coin flip
Dumont De Chassart, Adrien
+0.00 SG
EF 0th · Tour Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
58.2%
Books Say
53.7%
Edge
+8.4%
Fisk, Steven vs Dumont De Chassart, Adrien: Model gives Fisk, Steven 58.2% win probability vs 53.7% implied (+8.4% edge). Expected finish: 87.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Fisk, Steven 58.2%
+8.4 pts
Spread
-0.1
+8.4 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →