Fisk, Steven vs Hoey, Rico prediction for June 11, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Hoey, Rico 0 - Fisk, Steven 87. Fisk, Steven is favored with a 54.7% win probability. The spread is -0.07.
Hoey, Rico
+0.00
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • RBC Canadian Open
Fisk, Steven
+0.37
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Hoey, RicoFisk, Steven
-106
Best Odds
+6.3%
Edge
1.0u MEDIUM
Sizing
Tournament Context
Event
RBC Canadian Open
Course
TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley (North Course)
Field
147 players
Player Profile — Fisk, Steven
Strokes Gained
+0.37/round
Tour Avg
Course Fit
neutral
+0.100 SG adj
Expected Finish
87th / 147
Matchup Analysis
Fisk, Steven
+0.37 SG
EF 87th
Skill Gap
-0.07 SG/round
essentially a coin flip
Hoey, Rico
+0.00 SG
EF 0th · Tour Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
54.7%
Books Say
51.5%
Edge
+6.3%
Fisk, Steven vs Hoey, Rico: Model gives Fisk, Steven 54.7% win probability vs 51.5% implied (+6.3% edge). Expected finish: 87.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Fisk, Steven 54.7%
+6.3 pts
Spread
-0.1
+6.3 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →