Fitzpatrick, Alex vs English, Harris prediction for June 18, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects English, Harris 35 - Fitzpatrick, Alex 84. Fitzpatrick, Alex is favored with a 56.4% win probability. The spread is -0.28.
English, Harris
+1.25
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • U.S. Open
Fitzpatrick, Alex
+1.03
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
English, HarrisFitzpatrick, Alex
-110
Best Odds
+7.6%
Edge
1.0u MEDIUM
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Fitzpatrick, Alex
778491
English, Harris
283542
Tournament Context
Event
U.S. Open
Course
Shinnecock Hills Golf Club
Field
156 players
Player Profile — Fitzpatrick, Alex
Strokes Gained
+1.03/round
Tour Elite
Course Fit
good
+0.166 SG adj
Expected Finish
84th / 156
Matchup Analysis
Fitzpatrick, Alex
+1.03 SG
EF 84th
Skill Gap
-0.28 SG/round
tight edge for English, Harris
English, Harris
+1.25 SG
EF 35th · Tour Elite
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
56.4%
Books Say
52.4%
Edge
+7.6%
Fitzpatrick, Alex vs English, Harris: Model gives Fitzpatrick, Alex 56.4% win probability vs 52.4% implied (+7.6% edge). Skill advantage: -0.28 SG/round. Expected finish: 84.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Fitzpatrick, Alex 56.4%
+7.6 pts
Spread
-0.3
+7.6 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →