PGA Tour Golf

Gotterup, Chris vs Bradley, Keegan Prediction

June 25, 2026

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Gotterup, Chris vs Bradley, Keegan prediction for June 25, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Bradley, Keegan 60 - Gotterup, Chris 36. Bradley, Keegan is favored with a 50.1% win probability. The spread is 0.31.

Bradley, Keegan
+1.07
Strokes Gained / Round
VS H2H • Travelers Championship
Gotterup, Chris
+1.31
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
50.1%
49.9%
Bradley, KeeganGotterup, Chris
+115
Best Odds
+7.3%
Edge
1.0u MEDIUM
Sizing
FINALBradley, Keegan (T20) def Gotterup, Chris (T62)

Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile

Gotterup, Chris
293643
Bradley, Keegan
536067

Tournament Context

Event
Travelers Championship
Course
TPC River Highlands
Field
72 players
Wind
9 mph
Temp
84°F
Conditions
harder (+0.4)

Player Profile — Gotterup, Chris

Strokes Gained
+1.31/round
Tour Elite
Course Fit
poor
-0.148 SG adj
Expected Finish
36th / 72

Matchup Analysis

Gotterup, Chris
+1.31 SG
EF 36th
Skill Gap
+0.31 SG/round
tight edge for Gotterup, Chris
Bradley, Keegan
+1.07 SG
EF 60th · Tour Elite

Edge Breakdown

Our Model
49.9%
Books Say
46.5%
Edge
+7.3%

Gotterup, Chris vs Bradley, Keegan: Model gives Gotterup, Chris 49.9% win probability vs 46.5% implied (+7.3% edge). Skill advantage: +0.31 SG/round. Expected finish: 36.

Edge Analysis

Moneyline
Bradley, Keegan 50.1%
+7.3 pts
Spread
+0.3
+7.3 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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