Gotterup, Chris vs Fowler, Rickie prediction for May 13, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Fowler, Rickie 80 - Gotterup, Chris 80. Gotterup, Chris is favored with a 53.8% win probability. The spread is -0.17.
Fowler, Rickie
+1.38
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • PGA Championship
Gotterup, Chris
+1.21
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Fowler, RickieGotterup, Chris
-105
Best Odds
+5.1%
Edge
1.0u MEDIUM
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Gotterup, Chris
738087
Fowler, Rickie
738087
Tournament Context
Event
PGA Championship
Course
Aronimink Golf Club
Field
156 players
Player Profile — Gotterup, Chris
Strokes Gained
+1.21/round
Tour Elite
Course Fit
good
+0.202 SG adj
Expected Finish
80th / 156
Matchup Analysis
Gotterup, Chris
+1.21 SG
EF 80th
Skill Gap
-0.17 SG/round
tight edge for Fowler, Rickie
Fowler, Rickie
+1.38 SG
EF 80th · Tour Elite
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
53.8%
Books Say
51.2%
Edge
+5.1%
Gotterup, Chris vs Fowler, Rickie: Model gives Gotterup, Chris 53.9% win probability vs 51.2% implied (+5.1% edge). Skill advantage: -0.17 SG/round. Expected finish: 80.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Gotterup, Chris 53.8%
+5.1 pts
Spread
-0.2
+5.1 pts
More Projections Today
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →