Gotterup, Chris vs Koepka, Brooks prediction for June 18, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Koepka, Brooks 0 - Gotterup, Chris 79. Gotterup, Chris is favored with a 57.5% win probability. The spread is 0.69.
Koepka, Brooks
+0.00
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • U.S. Open
Gotterup, Chris
+1.37
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Koepka, BrooksGotterup, Chris
-112
Best Odds
+8.8%
Edge
1.0u MEDIUM
Sizing
Tournament Context
Event
U.S. Open
Course
Shinnecock Hills Golf Club
Field
156 players
Player Profile — Gotterup, Chris
Strokes Gained
+1.37/round
Tour Elite
Course Fit
poor
-0.008 SG adj
Expected Finish
79th / 156
Matchup Analysis
Gotterup, Chris
+1.37 SG
EF 79th
Skill Gap
+0.69 SG/round
meaningful edge for Gotterup, Chris
Koepka, Brooks
+0.00 SG
EF 0th · Tour Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
57.5%
Books Say
52.8%
Edge
+8.8%
Gotterup, Chris vs Koepka, Brooks: Model gives Gotterup, Chris 57.5% win probability vs 52.8% implied (+8.8% edge). Skill advantage: +0.69 SG/round. Expected finish: 79.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Gotterup, Chris 57.5%
+8.8 pts
Spread
+0.7
+8.8 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →