Gotterup, Chris vs Spieth, Jordan prediction for June 4, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Spieth, Jordan 0 - Gotterup, Chris 36. Gotterup, Chris is favored with a 50.0% win probability. The spread is 0.29.
Spieth, Jordan
+0.00
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday
Gotterup, Chris
+1.35
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Spieth, JordanGotterup, Chris
+112
Best Odds
+3.1%
Edge
1.0u LOW
Sizing
Tournament Context
Event
the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday
Course
Muirfield Village GC
Field
72 players
Wind
13 mph
Temp
82°F
Conditions
harder (+0.6)
Player Profile — Gotterup, Chris
Strokes Gained
+1.35/round
Tour Elite
Course Fit
poor
-0.090 SG adj
Expected Finish
36th / 72
Matchup Analysis
Gotterup, Chris
+1.35 SG
EF 36th
Skill Gap
+0.29 SG/round
tight edge for Gotterup, Chris
Spieth, Jordan
+0.00 SG
EF 0th · Tour Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
50.0%
Books Say
47.2%
Edge
+3.1%
Gotterup, Chris vs Spieth, Jordan: Model gives Gotterup, Chris 50.1% win probability vs 47.2% implied (+6.1% edge). Skill advantage: +0.29 SG/round. Expected finish: 36. AI: poor recent form; poor course history.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Gotterup, Chris 50.0%
+3.1 pts
Spread
+0.3
+3.1 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →