Griffin, Ben vs Bradley, Keegan prediction for June 25, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Bradley, Keegan 60 - Griffin, Ben 34. Griffin, Ben is favored with a 53.4% win probability. The spread is 0.26.
Bradley, Keegan
+1.07
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • Travelers Championship
Griffin, Ben
+1.27
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Bradley, KeeganGriffin, Ben
-103
Best Odds
+3.8%
Edge
1.0u LOW
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Griffin, Ben
273441
Bradley, Keegan
536067
Tournament Context
Event
Travelers Championship
Course
TPC River Highlands
Field
72 players
Wind
9 mph
Temp
84°F
Conditions
harder (+0.4)
Player Profile — Griffin, Ben
Strokes Gained
+1.27/round
Tour Elite
Course Fit
neutral
+0.070 SG adj
Expected Finish
34th / 72
Matchup Analysis
Griffin, Ben
+1.27 SG
EF 34th
Skill Gap
+0.26 SG/round
tight edge for Griffin, Ben
Bradley, Keegan
+1.07 SG
EF 60th · Tour Elite
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
53.4%
Books Say
50.7%
Edge
+3.8%
Griffin, Ben vs Bradley, Keegan: Model gives Griffin, Ben 53.4% win probability vs 50.7% implied (+5.3% edge). Skill advantage: +0.26 SG/round. Expected finish: 34. AI: poor course history.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Griffin, Ben 53.4%
+3.8 pts
Spread
+0.3
+3.8 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →