Griffin, Ben vs MacIntyre, Robert prediction for May 28, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects MacIntyre, Robert 34 - Griffin, Ben 43. Griffin, Ben is favored with a 57.6% win probability. The spread is -0.1.
MacIntyre, Robert
+1.17
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • Charles Schwab Challenge
Griffin, Ben
+1.13
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
MacIntyre, RobertGriffin, Ben
-109
Best Odds
+10.4%
Edge
1.0u HIGH
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Griffin, Ben
364350
MacIntyre, Robert
273441
Tournament Context
Event
Charles Schwab Challenge
Course
Colonial CC
Field
132 players
Wind
10 mph
Temp
91°F
Conditions
harder (+0.4)
Player Profile — Griffin, Ben
Strokes Gained
+1.13/round
Tour Elite
Course Fit
excellent
+0.574 SG adj
Expected Finish
43th / 132
Matchup Analysis
Griffin, Ben
+1.13 SG
EF 43th
Skill Gap
-0.10 SG/round
essentially a coin flip
MacIntyre, Robert
+1.17 SG
EF 34th · Tour Elite
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
57.6%
Books Say
52.1%
Edge
+10.4%
Griffin, Ben vs MacIntyre, Robert: Model gives Griffin, Ben 57.6% win probability vs 52.2% implied (+10.4% edge). Expected finish: 43.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Griffin, Ben 57.6%
+10.4 pts
Spread
-0.1
+10.4 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →