Hall, Harry vs Castillo, Ricky prediction for April 29, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Castillo, Ricky 54 - Hall, Harry 45. Hall, Harry is favored with a 71.2% win probability. The spread is 0.45.
Castillo, Ricky
+0.45
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • Cadillac Championship
Hall, Harry
+0.90
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Castillo, RickyHall, Harry
-121
Best Odds
+30.1%
Edge
2.0u ELITE
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Hall, Harry
384552
Castillo, Ricky
475461
Tournament Context
Event
Cadillac Championship
Course
Trump National Doral (Blue Monster)
Field
72 players
Player Profile — Hall, Harry
Strokes Gained
+0.90/round
Above Avg
Course Fit
poor
-0.181 SG adj
Expected Finish
45th / 72
Matchup Analysis
Hall, Harry
+0.90 SG
EF 45th
Skill Gap
+0.45 SG/round
meaningful edge for Hall, Harry
Castillo, Ricky
+0.45 SG
EF 54th · Tour Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
71.2%
Books Say
54.8%
Edge
+30.1%
Hall, Harry vs Castillo, Ricky: Model gives Hall, Harry 71.3% win probability vs 54.8% implied (+30.1% edge). Skill advantage: +0.45 SG/round. Expected finish: 45.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Hall, Harry 71.2%
+30.1 pts
Spread
+0.5
+30.1 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →