Hall, Harry vs Herbert, Lucas prediction for June 18, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Herbert, Lucas 0 - Hall, Harry 94. Hall, Harry is favored with a 66.1% win probability. The spread is 0.51.
Herbert, Lucas
+0.00
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • U.S. Open
Hall, Harry
+0.86
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Herbert, LucasHall, Harry
-141
Best Odds
+13.0%
Edge
1.5u HIGH
Sizing
Tournament Context
Event
U.S. Open
Course
Shinnecock Hills Golf Club
Field
156 players
Player Profile — Hall, Harry
Strokes Gained
+0.86/round
Above Avg
Course Fit
neutral
+0.004 SG adj
Expected Finish
94th / 156
Matchup Analysis
Hall, Harry
+0.86 SG
EF 94th
Skill Gap
+0.51 SG/round
meaningful edge for Hall, Harry
Herbert, Lucas
+0.00 SG
EF 0th · Tour Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
66.1%
Books Say
58.5%
Edge
+13.0%
Hall, Harry vs Herbert, Lucas: Model gives Hall, Harry 66.1% win probability vs 58.5% implied (+13.0% edge). Skill advantage: +0.51 SG/round. Expected finish: 94.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Hall, Harry 66.1%
+13.0 pts
Spread
+0.5
+13.0 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →