Hall, Harry vs Poston, J.T. prediction for June 17, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Poston, J.T. 36 - Hall, Harry 94. Hall, Harry is favored with a 58.8% win probability. The spread is -0.06.
Poston, J.T.
+1.07
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • U.S. Open
Hall, Harry
+0.86
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Poston, J.T.Hall, Harry
-114
Best Odds
+10.4%
Edge
1.0u HIGH
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Hall, Harry
8794101
Poston, J.T.
293643
Tournament Context
Event
U.S. Open
Course
Shinnecock Hills Golf Club
Field
156 players
Player Profile — Hall, Harry
Strokes Gained
+0.86/round
Above Avg
Course Fit
neutral
+0.004 SG adj
Expected Finish
94th / 156
Matchup Analysis
Hall, Harry
+0.86 SG
EF 94th
Skill Gap
-0.06 SG/round
essentially a coin flip
Poston, J.T.
+1.07 SG
EF 36th · Tour Elite
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
58.8%
Books Say
53.3%
Edge
+10.4%
Hall, Harry vs Poston, J.T.: Model gives Hall, Harry 58.8% win probability vs 53.3% implied (+10.4% edge). Expected finish: 94.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Hall, Harry 58.8%
+10.4 pts
Spread
-0.1
+10.4 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →