Hoey, Rico vs Moore, Taylor prediction for May 27, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Moore, Taylor 45 - Hoey, Rico 84. Hoey, Rico is favored with a 62.4% win probability. The spread is 0.05.
Moore, Taylor
+0.23
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • Charles Schwab Challenge
Hoey, Rico
+0.29
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Moore, TaylorHoey, Rico
-112
Best Odds
+18.2%
Edge
1.5u HIGH
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Hoey, Rico
778491
Moore, Taylor
384552
Tournament Context
Event
Charles Schwab Challenge
Course
Colonial CC
Field
132 players
Wind
10 mph
Temp
86°F
Conditions
harder (+0.4)
Player Profile — Hoey, Rico
Strokes Gained
+0.29/round
Tour Avg
Course Fit
poor
-0.193 SG adj
Expected Finish
84th / 132
Matchup Analysis
Hoey, Rico
+0.29 SG
EF 84th
Skill Gap
+0.05 SG/round
essentially a coin flip
Moore, Taylor
+0.23 SG
EF 45th · Tour Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
62.4%
Books Say
52.8%
Edge
+18.2%
Hoey, Rico vs Moore, Taylor: Model gives Hoey, Rico 62.4% win probability vs 52.8% implied (+18.2% edge). Expected finish: 84.
AI Intelligence Analysis
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Hoey, Rico 62.4%
+18.2 pts
Spread
+0.1
+18.2 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded Golf 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the Golf 2026 season report card.