Hojgaard, Nicolai vs English, Harris prediction for May 9, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects English, Harris 37 - Hojgaard, Nicolai 30. Hojgaard, Nicolai is favored with a 56.5% win probability. The spread is -0.12.
English, Harris
+1.17
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • Truist Championship
Hojgaard, Nicolai
+1.03
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
English, HarrisHojgaard, Nicolai
-110
Best Odds
+7.9%
Edge
1.0u MEDIUM
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Hojgaard, Nicolai
233037
English, Harris
303744
Tournament Context
Event
Truist Championship
Course
Quail Hollow Club
Field
72 players
Wind
11 mph
Temp
76°F
Conditions
harder (+0.5)
Player Profile — Hojgaard, Nicolai
Strokes Gained
+1.03/round
Tour Elite
Course Fit
excellent
+0.314 SG adj
Expected Finish
30th / 72
Matchup Analysis
Hojgaard, Nicolai
+1.03 SG
EF 30th
Skill Gap
-0.12 SG/round
tight edge for English, Harris
English, Harris
+1.17 SG
EF 37th · Tour Elite
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
56.5%
Books Say
52.4%
Edge
+7.9%
Hojgaard, Nicolai vs English, Harris: Model gives Hojgaard, Nicolai 56.5% win probability vs 52.4% implied (+7.9% edge). Skill advantage: -0.12 SG/round. Expected finish: 30.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Hojgaard, Nicolai 56.5%
+7.9 pts
Spread
-0.1
+7.9 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →