Hojgaard, Nicolai vs Reitan, Kristoffer prediction for June 17, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Reitan, Kristoffer 40 - Hojgaard, Nicolai 87. Hojgaard, Nicolai is favored with a 57.1% win probability. The spread is -0.05.
Reitan, Kristoffer
+0.94
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • U.S. Open
Hojgaard, Nicolai
+0.97
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Reitan, KristofferHojgaard, Nicolai
+104
Best Odds
+16.4%
Edge
1.5u ELITE
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Hojgaard, Nicolai
808794
Reitan, Kristoffer
334047
Tournament Context
Event
U.S. Open
Course
Shinnecock Hills Golf Club
Field
156 players
Player Profile — Hojgaard, Nicolai
Strokes Gained
+0.97/round
Above Avg
Course Fit
neutral
+0.096 SG adj
Expected Finish
87th / 156
Matchup Analysis
Hojgaard, Nicolai
+0.97 SG
EF 87th
Skill Gap
-0.05 SG/round
essentially a coin flip
Reitan, Kristoffer
+0.94 SG
EF 40th · Above Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
57.1%
Books Say
49.0%
Edge
+16.4%
Hojgaard, Nicolai vs Reitan, Kristoffer: Model gives Hojgaard, Nicolai 57.1% win probability vs 49.0% implied (+16.4% edge). Expected finish: 87.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Hojgaard, Nicolai 57.1%
+16.4 pts
Spread
-0.1
+16.4 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →