Hojgaard, Rasmus vs Bezuidenhout, Christiaan prediction for May 9, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Bezuidenhout, Christiaan 79 - Hojgaard, Rasmus 77. Hojgaard, Rasmus is favored with a 56.2% win probability. The spread is -0.23.
Bezuidenhout, Christiaan
+0.70
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson
Hojgaard, Rasmus
+0.47
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Bezuidenhout, ChristiaanHojgaard, Rasmus
-110
Best Odds
+7.3%
Edge
1.0u MEDIUM
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Hojgaard, Rasmus
707784
Bezuidenhout, Christiaan
727986
Tournament Context
Event
THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson
Course
TPC Craig Ranch
Field
147 players
Wind
14 mph
Temp
82°F
Conditions
harder (+0.7)
Player Profile — Hojgaard, Rasmus
Strokes Gained
+0.47/round
Tour Avg
Course Fit
good
+0.180 SG adj
Expected Finish
77th / 147
Matchup Analysis
Hojgaard, Rasmus
+0.47 SG
EF 77th
Skill Gap
-0.23 SG/round
tight edge for Bezuidenhout, Christiaan
Bezuidenhout, Christiaan
+0.70 SG
EF 79th · Above Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
56.2%
Books Say
52.4%
Edge
+7.3%
Hojgaard, Rasmus vs Bezuidenhout, Christiaan: Model gives Hojgaard, Rasmus 56.2% win probability vs 52.4% implied (+7.3% edge). Skill advantage: -0.23 SG/round. Expected finish: 77.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Hojgaard, Rasmus 56.2%
+7.3 pts
Spread
-0.2
+7.3 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →