Hojgaard, Rasmus vs Clark, Wyndham prediction for May 5, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Clark, Wyndham 76 - Hojgaard, Rasmus 77. Hojgaard, Rasmus is favored with a 54.5% win probability. The spread is -0.05.
Clark, Wyndham
+0.52
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson
Hojgaard, Rasmus
+0.47
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Clark, WyndhamHojgaard, Rasmus
-105
Best Odds
+6.5%
Edge
1.0u MEDIUM
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Hojgaard, Rasmus
707784
Clark, Wyndham
697683
Tournament Context
Event
THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson
Course
TPC Craig Ranch
Field
147 players
Wind
14 mph
Temp
82°F
Conditions
harder (+0.7)
Player Profile — Hojgaard, Rasmus
Strokes Gained
+0.47/round
Tour Avg
Course Fit
good
+0.180 SG adj
Expected Finish
77th / 147
Matchup Analysis
Hojgaard, Rasmus
+0.47 SG
EF 77th
Skill Gap
-0.05 SG/round
essentially a coin flip
Clark, Wyndham
+0.52 SG
EF 76th · Above Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
54.5%
Books Say
51.2%
Edge
+6.5%
Hojgaard, Rasmus vs Clark, Wyndham: Model gives Hojgaard, Rasmus 54.6% win probability vs 51.2% implied (+6.5% edge). Expected finish: 77.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Hojgaard, Rasmus 54.5%
+6.5 pts
Spread
-0.1
+6.5 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →