Hossler, Beau vs Li, Haotong prediction for May 28, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Li, Haotong 0 - Hossler, Beau 89. Hossler, Beau is favored with a 56.3% win probability. The spread is -0.11.
Li, Haotong
+0.00
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • Charles Schwab Challenge
Hossler, Beau
+0.09
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Li, HaotongHossler, Beau
-114
Best Odds
+5.7%
Edge
1.0u MEDIUM
Sizing
Tournament Context
Event
Charles Schwab Challenge
Course
Colonial CC
Field
132 players
Wind
10 mph
Temp
91°F
Conditions
harder (+0.4)
Player Profile — Hossler, Beau
Strokes Gained
+0.09/round
Tour Avg
Course Fit
poor
-0.225 SG adj
Expected Finish
89th / 132
Matchup Analysis
Hossler, Beau
+0.09 SG
EF 89th
Skill Gap
-0.11 SG/round
tight edge for Li, Haotong
Li, Haotong
+0.00 SG
EF 0th · Tour Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
56.3%
Books Say
53.3%
Edge
+5.7%
Hossler, Beau vs Li, Haotong: Model gives Hossler, Beau 56.3% win probability vs 53.3% implied (+5.7% edge). Skill advantage: -0.11 SG/round. Expected finish: 89.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Hossler, Beau 56.3%
+5.7 pts
Spread
-0.1
+5.7 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →