Hovland, Viktor vs Lee, Min Woo prediction for June 16, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Lee, Min Woo 35 - Hovland, Viktor 72. Hovland, Viktor is favored with a 58.5% win probability. The spread is 0.13.
Lee, Min Woo
+1.01
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • U.S. Open
Hovland, Viktor
+1.24
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Lee, Min WooHovland, Viktor
-125
Best Odds
+5.3%
Edge
1.0u MEDIUM
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Hovland, Viktor
657279
Lee, Min Woo
283542
Tournament Context
Event
U.S. Open
Course
Shinnecock Hills Golf Club
Field
156 players
Player Profile — Hovland, Viktor
Strokes Gained
+1.24/round
Tour Elite
Course Fit
excellent
+0.335 SG adj
Expected Finish
72th / 156
Matchup Analysis
Hovland, Viktor
+1.24 SG
EF 72th
Skill Gap
+0.13 SG/round
tight edge for Hovland, Viktor
Lee, Min Woo
+1.01 SG
EF 35th · Tour Elite
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
58.5%
Books Say
55.6%
Edge
+5.3%
Hovland, Viktor vs Lee, Min Woo: Model gives Hovland, Viktor 58.5% win probability vs 55.6% implied (+5.3% edge). Skill advantage: +0.13 SG/round. Expected finish: 72.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Hovland, Viktor 58.5%
+5.3 pts
Spread
+0.1
+5.3 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →