Hubbard, Mark vs Hoge, Tom prediction for June 9, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Hoge, Tom 0 - Hubbard, Mark 99. Hubbard, Mark is favored with a 63.3% win probability. The spread is 0.17.
Hoge, Tom
+0.00
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • RBC Canadian Open
Hubbard, Mark
-0.09
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Hoge, TomHubbard, Mark
-116
Best Odds
+17.9%
Edge
1.5u HIGH
Sizing
Tournament Context
Event
RBC Canadian Open
Course
TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley (North Course)
Field
147 players
Player Profile — Hubbard, Mark
Strokes Gained
-0.09/round
Below Avg
Course Fit
neutral
+0.094 SG adj
Expected Finish
99th / 147
Matchup Analysis
Hubbard, Mark
-0.09 SG
EF 99th
Skill Gap
+0.17 SG/round
tight edge for Hubbard, Mark
Hoge, Tom
+0.00 SG
EF 0th · Tour Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
63.3%
Books Say
53.7%
Edge
+17.9%
Hubbard, Mark vs Hoge, Tom: Model gives Hubbard, Mark 63.3% win probability vs 53.7% implied (+17.9% edge). Skill advantage: +0.17 SG/round. Expected finish: 99.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Hubbard, Mark 63.3%
+17.9 pts
Spread
+0.2
+17.9 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →