Hughes, Mackenzie vs Olesen, Thorbjorn prediction for June 10, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Olesen, Thorbjorn 0 - Hughes, Mackenzie 95. Hughes, Mackenzie is favored with a 56.2% win probability. The spread is -0.12.
Olesen, Thorbjorn
+0.00
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • RBC Canadian Open
Hughes, Mackenzie
+0.23
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Olesen, ThorbjornHughes, Mackenzie
+106
Best Odds
+15.7%
Edge
1.5u HIGH
Sizing
Tournament Context
Event
RBC Canadian Open
Course
TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley (North Course)
Field
147 players
Player Profile — Hughes, Mackenzie
Strokes Gained
+0.23/round
Tour Avg
Course Fit
poor
-0.078 SG adj
Expected Finish
95th / 147
Matchup Analysis
Hughes, Mackenzie
+0.23 SG
EF 95th
Skill Gap
-0.12 SG/round
tight edge for Olesen, Thorbjorn
Olesen, Thorbjorn
+0.00 SG
EF 0th · Tour Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
56.2%
Books Say
48.5%
Edge
+15.7%
Hughes, Mackenzie vs Olesen, Thorbjorn: Model gives Hughes, Mackenzie 56.2% win probability vs 48.5% implied (+15.7% edge). Skill advantage: -0.12 SG/round. Expected finish: 95.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Hughes, Mackenzie 56.2%
+15.7 pts
Spread
-0.1
+15.7 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →