PGA Tour Golf

Keefer, Johnny vs Yellamaraju, Sudarshan Prediction

June 10, 2026

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Keefer, Johnny vs Yellamaraju, Sudarshan prediction for June 10, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Yellamaraju, Sudarshan 102 - Keefer, Johnny 93. Keefer, Johnny is favored with a 53.7% win probability. The spread is -0.19.

Yellamaraju, Sudarshan
+0.51
Strokes Gained / Round
VS H2H • RBC Canadian Open
Keefer, Johnny
+0.15
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
46.3%
53.7%
Yellamaraju, SudarshanKeefer, Johnny
+110
Best Odds
+12.7%
Edge
1.0u HIGH
Sizing
FINALKeefer, Johnny (T17) def Yellamaraju, Sudarshan (T74)

Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile

Keefer, Johnny
8693100
Yellamaraju, Sudarshan
95102109

Tournament Context

Event
RBC Canadian Open
Course
TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley (North Course)
Field
147 players

Player Profile — Keefer, Johnny

Strokes Gained
+0.15/round
Tour Avg
Course Fit
neutral
+0.098 SG adj
Expected Finish
93th / 147

Matchup Analysis

Keefer, Johnny
+0.15 SG
EF 93th
Skill Gap
-0.19 SG/round
tight edge for Yellamaraju, Sudarshan
Yellamaraju, Sudarshan
+0.51 SG
EF 102th · Above Avg

Edge Breakdown

Our Model
53.7%
Books Say
47.6%
Edge
+12.7%

Keefer, Johnny vs Yellamaraju, Sudarshan: Model gives Keefer, Johnny 53.7% win probability vs 47.6% implied (+12.7% edge). Skill advantage: -0.19 SG/round. Expected finish: 93.

Edge Analysis

Moneyline
Keefer, Johnny 53.7%
+12.7 pts
Spread
-0.2
+12.7 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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