Kim, Si Woo vs Burns, Sam prediction for April 29, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Burns, Sam 16 - Kim, Si Woo 6. Kim, Si Woo is favored with a 78.8% win probability. The spread is 0.05.
Burns, Sam
+1.45
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • Cadillac Championship
Kim, Si Woo
+1.50
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Burns, SamKim, Si Woo
-150
Best Odds
+31.3%
Edge
2.5u ELITE
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Kim, Si Woo
0613
Burns, Sam
91623
Tournament Context
Event
Cadillac Championship
Course
Trump National Doral (Blue Monster)
Field
72 players
Player Profile — Kim, Si Woo
Strokes Gained
+1.50/round
Tour Elite
Course Fit
neutral
+0.104 SG adj
Expected Finish
6th / 72
Matchup Analysis
Kim, Si Woo
+1.50 SG
EF 6th
Skill Gap
+0.05 SG/round
essentially a coin flip
Burns, Sam
+1.45 SG
EF 16th · Tour Elite
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
78.8%
Books Say
60.0%
Edge
+31.3%
Kim, Si Woo vs Burns, Sam: Model gives Kim, Si Woo 78.8% win probability vs 60.0% implied (+31.3% edge). Expected finish: 6.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Kim, Si Woo 78.8%
+31.3 pts
Spread
+0.1
+31.3 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →