Kim, Si Woo vs Griffin, Ben prediction for May 8, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Griffin, Ben 7 - Kim, Si Woo 5. Kim, Si Woo is favored with a 64.1% win probability. The spread is 0.39.
Griffin, Ben
+1.21
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • Truist Championship
Kim, Si Woo
+1.57
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Griffin, BenKim, Si Woo
-155
Best Odds
+5.4%
Edge
1.0u MEDIUM
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Kim, Si Woo
0512
Griffin, Ben
0714
Tournament Context
Event
Truist Championship
Course
Quail Hollow Club
Field
72 players
Wind
9 mph
Temp
72°F
Conditions
harder (+0.4)
Player Profile — Kim, Si Woo
Strokes Gained
+1.57/round
World Class
Course Fit
good
+0.225 SG adj
Expected Finish
5th / 72
Matchup Analysis
Kim, Si Woo
+1.57 SG
EF 5th
Skill Gap
+0.39 SG/round
tight edge for Kim, Si Woo
Griffin, Ben
+1.21 SG
EF 7th · Tour Elite
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
64.1%
Books Say
60.8%
Edge
+5.4%
Kim, Si Woo vs Griffin, Ben: Model gives Kim, Si Woo 64.1% win probability vs 60.8% implied (+5.4% edge). Skill advantage: +0.39 SG/round. Expected finish: 5.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Kim, Si Woo 64.1%
+5.4 pts
Spread
+0.4
+5.4 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →