Kim, Si Woo vs Henley, Russell prediction for June 25, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Henley, Russell 0 - Kim, Si Woo 26. Kim, Si Woo is favored with a 54.6% win probability. The spread is 0.1.
Henley, Russell
+0.00
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • Travelers Championship
Kim, Si Woo
+1.58
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Henley, RussellKim, Si Woo
+100
Best Odds
+12.3%
Edge
1.0u HIGH
Sizing
Tournament Context
Event
Travelers Championship
Course
TPC River Highlands
Field
72 players
Wind
9 mph
Temp
84°F
Conditions
harder (+0.4)
Player Profile — Kim, Si Woo
Strokes Gained
+1.58/round
World Class
Course Fit
excellent
+0.318 SG adj
Expected Finish
26th / 72
Matchup Analysis
Kim, Si Woo
+1.58 SG
EF 26th
Skill Gap
+0.10 SG/round
essentially a coin flip
Henley, Russell
+0.00 SG
EF 0th · Tour Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
54.6%
Books Say
50.0%
Edge
+12.3%
Kim, Si Woo vs Henley, Russell: Model gives Kim, Si Woo 54.7% win probability vs 50.0% implied (+9.3% edge). Skill advantage: +0.10 SG/round. Expected finish: 26. AI: course specialist; weather/conditions favorable.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Kim, Si Woo 54.6%
+12.3 pts
Spread
+0.1
+12.3 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →